Trail confidence is probably the most important part of going ultralight and cutting pack weight. Most hikers carry too much because they lack experience. As one gains experience their Trail Confidence grows. As a result they become more confident in themselves and their gear. They also learn what works and doesn’t, as well as what they don’t need to be safe and comfortable.
Trail Confidence isn’t just about experience but also being comfortable with one’s gear, the weather, one’s ability to survive, and deal with adverse conditions/situations. Accepting that you might be cold or uncomfortable, and wishing you didn’t have to push through adverse situations are reality for any hiker. Accepting and understanding this is key.
You must know what you can and can’t deal with. Being confident in your gear and your ability to survive is Trail Confidence. Having a positive attitude is one part of it. One also must know their limits and leave the bravado at the trailhead and when conditions deem it necessary, change plans.
If you don’t have Trail Confidence you’re not going to ditch your tent for a tarp or leave half your clothes at home or go without rain pants. Trail Confidence will allow you to make the mental changes necessary to make compromises and motivation to start cutting pack weight.